First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Holds Steady at $30K as ETF Applicants Resubmit Applications

South Korea's Crypto Industry Emerges from Terra Luna's Shadow as Justice is Pursued for Do Kwon

Do Kwon of Terra claims he is not 'on the run'

Over the previous two days, the native token of Terra's blockchain has returned more than 200%. Despite this, the currency was still down 67.5% from its all-time high at the time of writing.

With its daily trading volumes dropping, the price action appeared to consolidate inside its up-channel (yellow) on the 4-hour period.

A sustained recovery may now encounter roadblocks in the $6.5-$7 range.

LUNA was trading at $6.2965 at press time, up 7.78% in the previous 24 hours.

LUNA 4-hour Chart

luna

Since its all-time low on 29 August, LUNA regained its lost momentum to retest the $1.7-level. The break above this level flipped it from resistance to support while the bulls aimed to snap the $2.1-hurdle.

After testing this hurdle twice, the third test resulted in a breakout rally that put LUNA in price discovery. The altcoin witnessed a solid bullish engulfing candlestick on 9 September, one that aided the bulls in fixating a spot beyond the north-looking 20/50/200 EMA. 

With bulls breaking the low volatility phase, the sellers could pose near-term bottlenecks near the upper trendline of the up-channel. A close above the $6.5-level would position LUNA for a test of the $7-$10 range before a likely reversal.

On the contrary, an immediate close below the pattern would hint at a near-term decline towards the $4.8-zone (20 EMA) before a plausible revival.

Rationale

luna

The heightened bullish pressure has kept the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in an overbought position. A gradual reversal from its record highs seemed likely in the coming sessions. Traders should wait for a decline below the 70-level support to confirm this bias.

Also, the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) marked lower peaks and bearishly diverged with the price action. A sustained slowdown in the A/D could trigger a short-term downfall.

Nevertheless, the MACD lines were yet to undertake a bearish crossover and depicted a favorable bullish position.

Conclusion

In view of the severely overbought readings on LUNA’s RSI after its extended bull run, the altcoin could see a near-term sluggish phase. However, the north-looking EMAs and the MACD continue to show a strong bullish edge, meaning the buyers would look to snap the $6.5 resistance in the coming sessions. The targets would remain the same as discussed.

Finally, investors/traders must keep a close watch on Bitcoin’s movement. The latter could potentially affect the broader market sentiment.