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Over the previous two days, the native token of Terra's blockchain has returned more than 200%. Despite this, the currency was still down 67.5% from its all-time high at the time of writing.
With its daily trading volumes dropping, the price action appeared to consolidate inside its up-channel (yellow) on the 4-hour period.
A sustained recovery may now encounter roadblocks in the $6.5-$7 range.
LUNA was trading at $6.2965 at press time, up 7.78% in the previous 24 hours.
LUNA 4-hour Chart
Since its all-time low on 29 August, LUNA regained its lost momentum to retest the $1.7-level. The break above this level flipped it from resistance to support while the bulls aimed to snap the $2.1-hurdle.
After testing this hurdle twice, the third test resulted in a breakout rally that put LUNA in price discovery. The altcoin witnessed a solid bullish engulfing candlestick on 9 September, one that aided the bulls in fixating a spot beyond the north-looking 20/50/200 EMA.
With bulls breaking the low volatility phase, the sellers could pose near-term bottlenecks near the upper trendline of the up-channel. A close above the $6.5-level would position LUNA for a test of the $7-$10 range before a likely reversal.
On the contrary, an immediate close below the pattern would hint at a near-term decline towards the $4.8-zone (20 EMA) before a plausible revival.
Rationale
The heightened bullish pressure has kept the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in an overbought position. A gradual reversal from its record highs seemed likely in the coming sessions. Traders should wait for a decline below the 70-level support to confirm this bias.
Also, the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) marked lower peaks and bearishly diverged with the price action. A sustained slowdown in the A/D could trigger a short-term downfall.
Nevertheless, the MACD lines were yet to undertake a bearish crossover and depicted a favorable bullish position.
Conclusion
In view of the severely overbought readings on LUNA’s RSI after its extended bull run, the altcoin could see a near-term sluggish phase. However, the north-looking EMAs and the MACD continue to show a strong bullish edge, meaning the buyers would look to snap the $6.5 resistance in the coming sessions. The targets would remain the same as discussed.
Finally, investors/traders must keep a close watch on Bitcoin’s movement. The latter could potentially affect the broader market sentiment.