First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Holds Firm Below $30K as Sam Bankman-Fried Returns to Incarceration

First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Demonstrates Resistance to CPI Effects

First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Tempts $30K as Investors Eagerly Await ETF Approval

Good morning. Here’s what’s happening:

Prices: Bitcoin lost the mojo it regained on Tuesday, dropping below $29K; ether fell toward $1.9K.

Insights: Valuations for some Web3 games are higher than the lifetime revenue of some successful, traditional gaming companies, and yet Web3 doesn't have many games that make players enthusiastic.

Prices

$28,936
−1387.4 ▼ 4.6%
$1,948
−149.8 ▼ 7.1%
1,250
−73.5 ▼ 5.6%
S&P 500
4,154.52
−0.4 ▼ 0.0%
Gold
$2,007
−0.4 ▼ 0.0%
Nikkei 225
28,606.76
−52.1 ▼ 0.2%

BTC/ETH prices per coincryptous as of 7 a.m. ET (11 a.m. UTC)

 

Bitcoin's Wednesday Swoon

What happened to bitcoin's Tuesday mojo?

On early Wednesday, the leading cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalization experienced a stumble as it fell below $30,000 for the second time in three days. Subsequently, hours later, it dropped below $29,000 for the first time in over a week. At present, BTC is trading at around $28,930, indicating a 4.6% decline from the previous day at the same time. This drop is a significant distance away from its recent peak last week, when renewed investor optimism and a moderately positive Consumer Price Index drove up market prices.

Investors' mood soured on Wednesday after a sobering U.K. inflation report and massive sell order on Binance. "One way or another, the hot U.K. CPI report that we got in today's European session made the market more vulnerable and may have been the piece of macroeconomic data that pushed that large seller to pull the trigger, which led to a cascade of sell orders as we dropped below $30,000," Matt Weller, global head of research at online broker Forex.com, told CoinDesk TV's "First Mover" program.

This week, Ether followed a similar pattern to BTC and experienced a decline of approximately 7.1%, currently trading at around $1,945. On Tuesday, the second largest cryptocurrency by market value briefly exceeded $2,100, but had fallen earlier in the week alongside other major altcoins. However, prior to this dip, Ether had been on an upward trajectory following the highly-anticipated Ethereum Shanghai upgrade, which marked the platform's transition from a proof-of-work to a more environmentally-friendly proof-of-stake protocol.

The APT token, which belongs to the first layer blockchain Aptos, and the ARB token, the native cryptocurrency of the second layer blockchain Arbitrum, have both experienced a recent decline of around 10% and 13%, respectively. Additionally, the CoinDesk Market Index, which serves as an indicator for the overall performance of the cryptocurrency market, has dropped by 6.2%.

For the second day in a row, equity markets remained relatively unchanged, with the Nasdaq Composite, which heavily features technology stocks, rising by 0.03%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500, which also has a significant technology component, experienced a slight drop of 0.01%. Despite this, investors are still processing the surprisingly robust earnings of the financial services sector in the first quarter, although a few regional banks are yet to report. These upcoming results will provide further insight into the state of the banking sector.

Markus Levin, who is one of the co-founders of XYO Network, a cryptography-based oracle network that collects and certifies data with a geographic component while ensuring anonymity, wrote an email to CoinDesk, noted "a tremendous amount of anxiety in the market right now, particularly when it comes to macroeconomic conditions."

"The U.K.’s higher-than-expected inflation numbers seem to be hitting a bit too close to home, both in the U.S. and in other countries where monetary policy is tightening and fears of a recession are growing," Levin wrote. "It seems as though all these macroeconomic concerns may finally be catching up with Bitcoin.

He added that after bitcoin's strong gains in recent weeks, "it's not surprising to see consolidation. Crypto markets have always been particularly susceptible to price fluctuations, so none of this should be cause for panic.”

Biggest Gainers

There are no gainers in CoinDesk 20 today.

Biggest Losers

Asset Ticker Returns DACS Sector
Avalanche AVAX −9.2% Smart Contract Platform
Terra LUNA −9.0% Smart Contract Platform
Decentraland MANA −8.6% Entertainment

 

Insights

Web3 Lacks Good Games

Despite commanding billions of dollars in market share within Web3 gaming and the metaverse, there is a crucial element that is lacking: a quality game.

Tentpole franchises within the traditional gaming industry have not generated as much revenue over their lifespan as some Web3 games are currently worth. However, it is still common to find individuals who have played a chapter of Grand Theft Auto or Halo, or have participated in multiplayer battles in games such as PUBG or Call of Duty.

A few of these games are merely popular for a brief moment, such as PUBG which had a ubiquitous presence in 2017-2018 due to its fast-paced, mobile-friendly gameplay, but has since lost some of its popularity.

However, it is probably more challenging to come across an individual who has had a similar experience with a Web3 game. While most gamers are familiar with PUBG, the same cannot be said for a Web3 game. According to a recent report by DappRadar, Asia is predicted to dominate the Web3 gaming market. This conclusion was based on a survey, which revealed that 48.6% of respondents found blockchain games to be "interesting".

However, the question remains: do these players still find Web3 games interesting after giving them a try?

Square Enix believes there is a potential market for Web3 games. As the studio responsible for the popular Final Fantasy franchise, which is considered a revered classic among gamers, Square Enix has demonstrated its optimism towards this industry vertical by releasing a trailer for its first-ever Web3 game.

Its fans though aren’t as sold.

Several of the top-rated comments in response to the video are largely negative in sentiment.

“How do I dislike a video more than once,” said J Miki. “With this rate, the next Final Fantasy will be the final fantasy,” added another.

Important events.

9:15 a.m. HKT/SGT(1:15 UTC) People's Bank of China Interest Rate Decision

11:30 p.m. HKT/SGT(15:30 UTC) Bank of Canada's Governor Macklem Speech

7:30 a.m. HKT/SGT(23:30 UTC) Japan National Consumer Price Index (YoY/March)

 

Source Coindesk